Monsoon has knocked in Kerala on Thursday. After fulfilling all its parameters, the Meteorological Department has announced the arrival of monsoon in Kerala. Conditions for the Southwest Monsoon to reach Kerala had started forming a few days back. However, this time the monsoon is 2 days behind schedule. But the Meteorological Department (IMD) estimates that this time the rain will be 101% better than normal. There will also be a possibility of it being more or less 4%.
Monsoon had knocked in Andaman on 21st May. After crossing half of Sri Lanka and Maldives on May 27, the northern boundary of the monsoon remained in the Comorin Sea for 7 days due to lack of strong winds.
Pre-monsoon rains are continuing in Kerala for the last 4 days. On Wednesday, satellite images showed cloudy skies over the coastal areas and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. The Meteorological Department (IMD) says that there has been an increase in the distribution of rain in Kerala. Westerly winds are blowing in the lower levels of the South Sea.
These are the 3 parameters of declaration of monsoon
1. 60% of the 14 weather stations in Kerala, Lakshadweep and Karnataka should receive more than 2.5 mm of rain for two consecutive days after May 10.
2. The westerly winds started blowing up to 4.5 km above the ground surface, its speed near the surface would be 30 to 35 km / h.
3. The thickness of the clouds should be so much that the radiation returning from the ground to the sky is less than 200 W/sqm.
For the first time on Tuesday, the IMD had also released the forecast for the monsoon rains in the country’s core monsoon region (rain-based core region). This time the region will receive 106% rainfall. Dr. Mrityunjay Mohapatra, Director General, Meteorological Department said that in the Statistical Ensemble Forecasting System, during the four months of monsoon, 96 to 104% of the average rainfall i.e. 40% chance of normal monsoon was found. There is a 22% chance of being above normal and an 18% chance of being below normal.
On the basis of this model, the normal (92-108%) monsoon over North West India (Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Western Uttar Pradesh), Central India (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh Maharashtra, Goa, Odisha, Gujarat) would receive above normal (106%), southern plateau (Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Puducherry) would receive normal (93 to 107%) rains.
106% rain forecast in MP, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Gujarat
according to IMD Northeast (East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Assam, Meghalaya, Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Tripura, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram) and Monsoon Core There is a possibility of 106% rain in the zone (Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Odisha, Rajasthan, Telangana, North Karnataka, Jharkhand).
Orange alert of 3-4 days of pre-monsoon rain in Madhya Pradesh,
monsoon reaches around June 17 every year in MP and June 20 in Bhopal. This time also it is expected to reach on time. Meteorologist AK Shukla says that if the progress of monsoon continues, then it will reach on time.
According to the forecast issued by the Meteorological Center, there may be rain at isolated places in Madhya Pradesh including Bhopal for the next three-four days. An orange alert has also been issued for this.
Rajasthan: The coldest start of June, the record of 20 years was broken in
Jaipur, in many districts of the state including Jaipur, this time the coldest start of June. In Jaipur, the 20-year record of lowest temperature has been broken in early June. Here on Wednesday the day’s mercury was 30.2 degrees. Earlier on June 1, 2001, it was 39.8 degrees. Including Jaipur, Ajmer, Alwar, Bharatpur, Dholpur, Dausa, Dungarpur, Jhunjhunu, Sikar, Karauli, Sawai Madhopur, Tonk, Barmer, Jodhpur, Jaisalmer, Bikaner, Hanumangarh, Sri Ganganagar, Jalore and Pali districts may receive rain till June 6.
